Here's a useful formula to forecast business:
- quantify the opportunity
- multiply it by your estimate of the probability of success
- discount it for any extraneous factors.
- this formula yields the dollar forecast.
Then apply the timing forecast:
- likely timing
- delay factors
- work out probable timing.
While hard-nosed forecasting like this is a novel concept for most lawyers, and other professionals, it will help you in prioritising your business development efforts.
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